South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a9a17a59632f1a227b9bce87dde0046eeb1830745e5122095950f33bbe1deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,439$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 854.43$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.39 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 673.18$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.52 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 551.48$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 44c | 479.19$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.35 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…e693backed Yes | 54c | 432.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed No | 48c | 290.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 257.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 54c | 221.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 212.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 209.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked No | 47c | 195.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 45c | 191.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed No | 47c | 159$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 156.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 45c | 94.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 49c | 80.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 46c | 69.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 53.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked No | 47c | 52.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 44c | 44.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…afb9backed Yes | 54c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Yes | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…051fbacked No | 48c | 33.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 47c | 28.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 25.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 24.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 53c | 18.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: EC Vitória 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.