College Football · resolved market
Buffalo vs. Minnesota
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a1a54ddabbbf5be5cd0f7272d28e66844a0071aa23716ebf8ff8b98e0286d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesotaof Buffalo, Minnesota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Buffalo | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Buffalo | 11c | 1,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Buffalo | 13c | 816.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Buffalo | 12c | 773.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Buffalo | 10c | 710$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Buffalo | 12c | 690$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Buffalo | 16c | 609.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Buffalo | 17c | 535.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Buffalo | 13c | 424.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Buffalo | 4c | 242.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…bd57backed Buffalo | 7c | 211.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Buffalo | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Buffalo | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Buffalo | 10c | 199.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Buffalo | 10c | 189.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Buffalo | 13c | 159.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Buffalo | 13c | 152.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Buffalo | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Buffalo | 13c | 148.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Buffalo | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Buffalo | 9c | 126.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Buffalo | 11c | 112.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Buffalo | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.