Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a84baffcbe6d80976463de646d9fd4f624b6e43ec351219426fda1e3dd77ccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 24c | 7,678$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.88 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…43c8backed Under | 67c | 1,800$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +89%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Under | 50c | 1,094$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.16 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…6ea6backed Under | 30c | 604.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.3wins | +0.41per pick | 15cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 36c | 597.43$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.36 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Under | 35c | 537.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 6c | 532.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 65c | 464.17$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.07 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…6ce7backed Over | 65c | 434.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 35c | 316.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Under | 33c | 247.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 36c | 228$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 226.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…38b0backed Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 162.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…9610backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Under | 37c | 135.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 65c | 133.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e82abacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 65c | 80.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…1eb6backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Over | 64c | 58.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 64c | 45.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 33.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…9906backed Over | 60c | 32.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…d814backed Over | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…92d3backed Over | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.