Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33cf383b97b2efb4bda9ca9e3382087a275a5d0c02ab7eb53b26dac3a57a94f1

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,438 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Under	68c	7,178$4,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,329.61	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	25c	3,861$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.01	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	32c	2,075$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.95	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	66c	2,035$1,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.64	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	34c	2,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	216	40.7%88 W · 128 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…4f40backed Over	34c	1,912$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over	35c	1,789$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.53	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	24c	1,730$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.92	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Under	61c	1,626$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.46	174	53.4%93 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	65c	1,164$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.51	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	16c	1,010$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.5	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	66c	757.58$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.58	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	75c	724.1$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.64	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	66c	694.44$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.11	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Over	45c	444.44$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.15	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over	33c	402.26$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.75	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under	63c	360.02$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.21	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over	36c	350$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	32c	343.89$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.05	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	23c	320$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.44	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	65c	307.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	112	39.3%44 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Over	38c	300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	18c	284$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x029c…7329backed Over	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	14c	252.28$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.13	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	38c	240.27$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.83	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	12c	238.25$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.59	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	63c	236.61$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.26	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Under	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	284	39.1%111 W · 173 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	17c	191.89$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.42	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over	41c	191.61$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.56	324	44.1%143 W · 181 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	65c	189.84$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.71	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	37c	188.73$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.08	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	26c	182.84$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.75	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under	64c	181$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.16	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over	37c	177.07$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Over	38c	165.2$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.75	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49a0…29acbacked Under	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Under	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	131	57.3%75 W · 56 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Over	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	152	26.3%40 W · 112 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a29…2b6ebacked Over	33c	141.64$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.74	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd131…eb1abacked Under	77c	129.7$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	77c	129.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.44	218	46.8%102 W · 116 L	+19.9wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb04…bfe1backed Over	8c	125.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-92.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	21c	115.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.56	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	22c	114.78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce5…9906backed Under	78c	112.23$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.17	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	36c	111.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	257	27.2%70 W · 187 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	67c	105.59$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.17	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over	38c	105.39$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	240	46.3%111 W · 129 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b8…e82abacked Over	37c	101.69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	262	46.9%123 W · 139 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x359e…48a6backed Over	35c	91.69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Over	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	34c	88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Over	35c	82.86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over	34c	82.35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	235	28.1%66 W · 169 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	38c	80$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	21c	79.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	72c	69.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7668…9db2backed Over	34c	67.65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	115	40%46 W · 69 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	63c	67$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.79	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over	28c	58.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	203	37.9%77 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Over	20c	55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	37c	54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	274	66.4%182 W · 92 L	+28.8wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	22c	51.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f9…7d44backed Under	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	230	46.5%107 W · 123 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87a…36eabacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	39c	42.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf371…fd71backed Over	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…9a18backed Under	67c	37.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	39c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	64c	31$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.16	259	48.6%126 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3912…c081backed Over	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x416d…6fd5backed Under	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	108	62%67 W · 41 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	35c	29.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8faa…e76abacked Under	78c	25.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Under	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	249	55.4%138 W · 111 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under	77c	23.34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.37	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Under	64c	23.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	270	58.1%157 W · 113 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…b01fbacked Under	62c	17.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under	73c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.1	514	58.8%302 W · 212 L	+25.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event