Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aed95efa424524deddf2f0d8f7448a4d921add3006d220d400d583ad27736ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof Delaware State Hornets, Morgan State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked Morgan State Bears | 64c | 2,302$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Morgan State Bears | 73c | 2,121$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Delaware State Hornets | 24c | 2,100$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.47 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Morgan State Bears | 64c | 1,606$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.84 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Delaware State Hornets | 21c | 1,225$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Morgan State Bears | 61c | 621$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Delaware State Hornets | 31c | 420.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Delaware State Hornets | 5c | 380.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…be5dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 30c | 329.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Delaware State Hornets | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Delaware State Hornets | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Morgan State Bears | 74c | 179.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Delaware State Hornets | 33c | 175.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Morgan State Bears | 61c | 162.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Morgan State Bears | 70c | 159$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Morgan State Bears | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Morgan State Bears | 67c | 138.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morgan State Bears | 61c | 134$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Delaware State Hornets | 38c | 114.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Morgan State Bears | 68c | 100.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Delaware State Hornets | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Morgan State Bears | 62c | 80.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Morgan State Bears | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Morgan State Bears | 69c | 72.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Morgan State Bears | 61c | 70.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…6a81backed Delaware State Hornets | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…75c2backed Delaware State Hornets | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Delaware State Hornets | 44c | 60.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Morgan State Bears | 69c | 56.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Delaware State Hornets | 29c | 52.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Delaware State Hornets | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Delaware State Hornets | 34c | 44.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Delaware State Hornets | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Delaware State Hornets | 37c | 38.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Delaware State Hornets | 34c | 30.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Morgan State Bears | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Morgan State Bears | 71c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsthis page
- Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.