Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cluj Napoca: Katarina Kujovic vs Sara Victoria Balan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b784dbd5e5330761a715f7af37ac28aa525bde19b650e1353b7eacfc832328e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Victoria Balanof Katarina Kujovic, Sara Victoria Balan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katarina Kujovic | 43c | 11,691$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 58c | 10,296$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.92 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Katarina Kujovic | 42c | 1,714$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.62 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sara Victoria Balan | 54c | 1,618$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katarina Kujovic | 36c | 1,376$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.14 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 53c | 1,273$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Sara Victoria Balan | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Katarina Kujovic | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 56c | 254.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Sara Victoria Balan | 65c | 230.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 56c | 132.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Sara Victoria Balan | 69c | 110.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Sara Victoria Balan | 69c | 100.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Sara Victoria Balan | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Katarina Kujovic | 34c | 99.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sara Victoria Balan | 56c | 90.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sara Victoria Balan | 68c | 81.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Katarina Kujovic | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Katarina Kujovic | 32c | 75.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Katarina Kujovic | 31c | 74.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Katarina Kujovic | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Katarina Kujovic | 17c | 63.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sara Victoria Balan | 53c | 50.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Sara Victoria Balan | 65c | 45.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Sara Victoria Balan | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Katarina Kujovic | 34c | 43.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Katarina Kujovic | 24c | 42.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Katarina Kujovic | 43c | 41.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Sara Victoria Balan | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sara Victoria Balan | 64c | 29.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Sara Victoria Balan | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Sara Victoria Balan | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…2890backed Sara Victoria Balan | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Sara Victoria Balan | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Sara Victoria Balan | 54c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Sara Victoria Balan | 69c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…895ebacked Sara Victoria Balan | 76c | 15.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…cfb4backed Sara Victoria Balan | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.