Tennis · resolved market
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Ayla Aksu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7e74f707ebd41d4f16f33aef683f22a07690258316c8f326db879737f936d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darja Vidmanovaof Darja Vidmanova, Ayla Aksu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Ayla Aksu | 36c | 14,020$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.29 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Darja Vidmanova | 71c | 7,984$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.47 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ayla Aksu | 10c | 7,861$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ayla Aksu | 10c | 6,572$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.31 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ayla Aksu | 10c | 3,061$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.61 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Darja Vidmanova | 75c | 778.7$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Darja Vidmanova | 80c | 625.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ayla Aksu | 21c | 479.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ayla Aksu | 29c | 406.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Ayla Aksu | 32c | 390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Darja Vidmanova | 72c | 319.15$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Darja Vidmanova | 79c | 289.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ayla Aksu | 35c | 230.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Darja Vidmanova | 66c | 143.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Darja Vidmanova | 70c | 143.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ayla Aksu | 28c | 129.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Darja Vidmanova | 71c | 111.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Ayla Aksu | 31c | 111.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Ayla Aksu | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ayla Aksu | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ayla Aksu | 28c | 59.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Darja Vidmanova | 72c | 58.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Ayla Aksu | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a03ebacked Ayla Aksu | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Ayla Aksu | 28c | 44.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Darja Vidmanova | 61c | 42.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Ayla Aksu | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ayla Aksu | 29c | 38.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Darja Vidmanova | 62c | 35.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Darja Vidmanova | 73c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Darja Vidmanova | 72c | 23.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Darja Vidmanova | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Darja Vidmanova | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Darja Vidmanova | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.