Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dallas: Matthew Forbes vs Evan Bynoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba16d33bc7adca4f23af5d0d253e5e96a8c4ee47e9d24b357f75485aeadae9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Forbesof Matthew Forbes, Evan Bynoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Evan Bynoe | 20c | 583.28$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Evan Bynoe | 5c | 399.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Evan Bynoe | 25c | 314.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Matthew Forbes | 79c | 305.61$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Evan Bynoe | 22c | 274.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Evan Bynoe | 17c | 252.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Evan Bynoe | 21c | 242.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Evan Bynoe | 21c | 242.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Evan Bynoe | 17c | 241.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…37e3backed Matthew Forbes | 66c | 189.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Evan Bynoe | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Evan Bynoe | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Evan Bynoe | 22c | 127.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Matthew Forbes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Evan Bynoe | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Matthew Forbes | 79c | 70.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Matthew Forbes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matthew Forbes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Evan Bynoe | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Matthew Forbes | 77c | 47.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Matthew Forbes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Matthew Forbes | 78c | 37.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Matthew Forbes | 77c | 24.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Matthew Forbes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…d0c7backed Matthew Forbes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Matthew Forbes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Matthew Forbes | 72c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matthew Forbes | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matthew Forbes | 78c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.