CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba3fb1930343cb424aab3629b9df9848c9da300812855f8358107197928b548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Just Players, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 48c | 514.83$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Walczaki | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Walczaki | 56c | 414.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 62c | 352.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 49c | 335.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Just Players | 54c | 332.62$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Just Players | 60c | 293.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Just Players | 47c | 242.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Walczaki | 58c | 192$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Just Players | 53c | 182.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Walczaki | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 306 | 22.9%70 W · 236 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki | 57c | 162.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Just Players | 37c | 156.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 40c | 114.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 43c | 106.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Just Players | 34c | 83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Walczaki | 71c | 71.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Just Players | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Just Players | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Walczaki | 59c | 51.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 45c | 47.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Just Players | 52c | 38.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Just Players | 56c | 35.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Walczaki | 71c | 33.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 36c | 29.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 42c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Walczaki | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Walczaki | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 56c | 23.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.