Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Petr Nesterov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bca6b0fd4bf901ad83a055d9c480a7b3b63699bc62d30b1b01bbb18632a1652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Nesterovof Daniel Dutra da Silva, Petr Nesterov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 3,269$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.02 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 2,064$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.5 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Petr Nesterov | 65c | 1,753$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.76 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Petr Nesterov | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Petr Nesterov | 64c | 1,393$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 39c | 1,348$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.86 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 37c | 1,000$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.38 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 999.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.1 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Petr Nesterov | 72c | 978.78$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8623…34a6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 22c | 910.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 18c | 527.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 41c | 491.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 39c | 491.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 379.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 310.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 20c | 302.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 36c | 226.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Petr Nesterov | 60c | 211.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…008bbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 41c | 170.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 133.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 39c | 131.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 17c | 129.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Petr Nesterov | 62c | 102.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0be8backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Petr Nesterov | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 30c | 95.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Petr Nesterov | 62c | 93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 39c | 92.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Petr Nesterov | 59c | 84.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 82.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 30c | 62.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Petr Nesterov | 69c | 60.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Petr Nesterov | 59c | 53.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 42c | 52.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Petr Nesterov | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Petr Nesterov | 61c | 46.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…622ebacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…f42cbacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…511cbacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 42c | 36.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Petr Nesterov | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…aa37backed Petr Nesterov | 66c | 33.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d7…e1f8backed Petr Nesterov | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Petr Nesterov | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Petr Nesterov | 60c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Petr Nesterov | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.