Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf9b03341abaa9701220b41c9d0b12191edd283c8761e69fe69e28ac7a9f038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 53c | 9,870$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.1 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 9,185$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.12 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 3,699$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.85 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 36c | 3,658$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.19 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,349$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,330$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 991.71$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.38 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 893.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 64c | 629.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 560.58$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.67 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 540$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 54c | 372.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 54c | 372.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 46c | 289.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 47c | 234.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 224.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 206.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 53c | 203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 61c | 182.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 166.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 139.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 131.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 52c | 114.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…2c06backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 51c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Over | 15c | 78.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 56.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 46c | 53.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 54c | 40.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Under | 58c | 35.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 70c | 34.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 53c | 32.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 29.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 59c | 27.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…b283backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952e…2288backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…0a30backed Over | 54c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…3275backed Over | 53c | 22.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…92d9backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 74c | 17.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Nürnberg (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: 1. FC Nürnberg (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)1. FC Nürnberg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.