Cricket · resolved market
T20 Central Europe Cup: Czechia vs Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c1498639b9ccbd0eeba819f2409106cf6479e15fd372b82a26d1052fb1b46ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Czechiaof Czechia, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Serbia | 1c | 3,049$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed Serbia | 27c | 2,791$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.26 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Serbia | 38c | 1,188$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.17 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked Serbia | 28c | 900.07$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Czechia | 61c | 849$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.91 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Serbia | 5c | 740$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Czechia | 61c | 525.38$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Serbia | 39c | 512.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Serbia | 3c | 510$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Serbia | 14c | 503.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Serbia | 19c | 502.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Serbia | 8c | 436.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Czechia | 68c | 380.07$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Czechia | 76c | 324.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Czechia | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Serbia | 7c | 295.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Serbia | 23c | 215.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Serbia | 17c | 194$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Serbia | 26c | 170.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Serbia | 12c | 159.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Serbia | 7c | 152$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Czechia | 71c | 135$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Serbia | 25c | 122.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Serbia | 11c | 120.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Czechia | 68c | 108.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Serbia | 29c | 104.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Serbia | 25c | 102.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Serbia | 26c | 101.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Czechia | 75c | 75.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Serbia | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Serbia | 29c | 38.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Czechia | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Czechia | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Czechia | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…b726backed Czechia | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Czechia | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Czechia | 77c | 28.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Czechia | 74c | 26.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Central Europe Cup: Czechia vs Serbiathis page
- T20 Central Europe Cup: Czechia vs Serbia - Who wins the toss?Serbia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.