CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c167cba35484c27399533cf4858e9c4e6cac128e33bab247d8a61859416478c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof Fortress, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 79c | 11,314$8,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.36 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fortress | 16c | 4,891$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fortress | 26c | 1,714$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fortress | 28c | 1,015$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fortress | 26c | 773.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress | 24c | 721$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress | 26c | 598$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fortress | 23c | 477$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fortress | 25c | 446$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fortress | 26c | 414.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Fortress | 10c | 250.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Fortress | 26c | 176.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fortress | 14c | 137.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fortress | 22c | 115.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fortress | 19c | 102.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fortress | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fortress | 23c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked Fortress | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fortress | 23c | 49.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Inner Circle Academy | 78c | 43.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Fortress | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Fortress | 32c | 38.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Inner Circle Academy | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group AFortress won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerFortress won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.