CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5d7da88edc7a483edf69afc49271f1690dd6654459ab01ccdbfb442a89b331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fortressof Fortress, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Fortress | 10c | 4,469$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.81 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 2,541$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Academy | 68c | 2,150$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Academy | 18c | 1,858$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.66 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Fortress | 32c | 1,750$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed Inner Circle Academy | 30c | 1,039$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fortress | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle Academy | 1c | 909.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 23c | 819.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress | 24c | 800.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.81 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Fortress | 13c | 766.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.85 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Fortress | 38c | 749.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Fortress | 8c | 673.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.51 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Fortress | 10c | 548.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.66 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fortress | 10c | 546.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.2 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 500.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.51 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Inner Circle Academy | 66c | 472.5$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fortress | 21c | 416.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.71 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fortress | 22c | 324$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 59c | 287.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.59 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Inner Circle Academy | 31c | 286.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Inner Circle Academy | 22c | 283.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 264.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress | 24c | 241.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.46 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…f37abacked Fortress | 10c | 205.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fortress | 9c | 203$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fortress | 66c | 193$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Fortress | 12c | 170$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Inner Circle Academy | 77c | 146.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Academy | 29c | 113$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…dad6backed Fortress | 16c | 108.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Fortress | 15c | 106.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Fortress | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed Inner Circle Academy | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Inner Circle Academy | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fortress | 44c | 77.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed Inner Circle Academy | 76c | 67.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 64.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fortress | 20c | 62.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Fortress | 25c | 62.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Inner Circle Academy | 75c | 52.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fortress | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Inner Circle Academy | 50c | 45.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Fortress | 25c | 41.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 40.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Inner Circle Academy | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Inner Circle Academy | 77c | 38.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 63c | 33.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Inner Circle Academy | 75c | 33.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 65c | 27.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 26.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…9fa1backed Inner Circle Academy | 62c | 22.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Inner Circle Academy | 78c | 20.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Inner Circle Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Inner Circle Academy | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2793backed Inner Circle Academy | 78c | 19.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Inner Circle Academy | 79c | 19.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Inner Circle Academy | 71c | 19.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Inner Circle Academy | 71c | 16.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Fortress | 67c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerFortress won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.