Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tanger: Ali Missoum vs Federico Valle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c1fe58ce04c86a1a158ab0a8df483943a33a085016c7bec69b91554338a3d92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ali Missoumof Ali Missoum, Federico Valle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ali Missoum | 32c | 2,864$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.66 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Federico Valle | 61c | 1,971$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.59 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ali Missoum | 54c | 1,052$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.31 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ali Missoum | 41c | 963.3$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.94 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Federico Valle | 63c | 711.88$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.04 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Federico Valle | 60c | 564$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.95 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Federico Valle | 68c | 533.54$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.81 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Ali Missoum | 38c | 394.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Federico Valle | 58c | 326.17$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Federico Valle | 42c | 318.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ali Missoum | 49c | 304.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…c9c2backed Ali Missoum | 41c | 241.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Federico Valle | 62c | 240.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ali Missoum | 59c | 227.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Ali Missoum | 45c | 222.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Federico Valle | 40c | 216.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Federico Valle | 62c | 212$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Federico Valle | 58c | 190.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Federico Valle | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Federico Valle | 64c | 162.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Federico Valle | 59c | 119.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e6c2backed Ali Missoum | 40c | 118.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Federico Valle | 67c | 109.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Federico Valle | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Federico Valle | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Federico Valle | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Federico Valle | 66c | 91.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Federico Valle | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Federico Valle | 62c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ali Missoum | 34c | 53.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Federico Valle | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Federico Valle | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Federico Valle | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Federico Valle | 38c | 36.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ali Missoum | 32c | 30.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Federico Valle | 68c | 29.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Federico Valle | 64c | 28.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Federico Valle | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Ali Missoum | 45c | 24.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Federico Valle | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Federico Valle | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Federico Valle | 66c | 18.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Federico Valle | 68c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.