CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2ff03f9dae63fa23c946a6a54af81b26a3f1d8e0fc18caf2c4186bb50d8046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Johnny Speeds | 63c | 15,275$9,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.67 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Metizport | 36c | 6,092$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.18 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Metizport | 37c | 4,838$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Metizport | 32c | 2,674$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Metizport | 37c | 2,145$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.4 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Metizport | 37c | 852$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Metizport | 37c | 793.37$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…7007backed Johnny Speeds | 72c | 739.52$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Metizport | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed Metizport | 20c | 493.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Metizport | 38c | 347.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Metizport | 8c | 202.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Metizport | 37c | 141$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…86f3backed Metizport | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…5c96backed Metizport | 39c | 131.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…0573backed Metizport | 12c | 123.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Johnny Speeds | 63c | 109.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…635ebacked Metizport | 37c | 109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Metizport | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Metizport | 36c | 99.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Metizport | 38c | 93.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Metizport | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Metizport | 38c | 74.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Metizport | 37c | 64.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Metizport | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Metizport | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1177…2e11backed Metizport | 37c | 47.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Metizport | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked Metizport | 37c | 42.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Metizport | 35c | 42.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Metizport | 36c | 41.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Metizport | 38c | 40.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Metizport | 37c | 37.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 74c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 21.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 36 | 86.1%31 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.