CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs KOLESIE (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c348741de23e3014f7aecdb8c2eb4b57b3c83f239952c78b78f24fe5da8d500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,773 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Voca | 45c | 3,500$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 3,422$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.31 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Voca | 71c | 1,660$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed KOLESIE | 29c | 1,500$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.45 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked KOLESIE | 56c | 1,133$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.18 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed KOLESIE | 32c | 950$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Voca | 68c | 536.29$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed KOLESIE | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Voca | 44c | 447.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed Voca | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Voca | 44c | 399.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.98 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed KOLESIE | 53c | 379.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Voca | 53c | 374.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Voca | 44c | 371.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.3 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Voca | 72c | 338.59$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed KOLESIE | 56c | 300.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Voca | 66c | 268.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Voca | 65c | 262.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked KOLESIE | 56c | 239.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed KOLESIE | 58c | 171.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Voca | 63c | 171$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KOLESIE | 57c | 159.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Voca | 45c | 152.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Voca | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Voca | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1814…eb8abacked KOLESIE | 27c | 138.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Voca | 43c | 126.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed KOLESIE | 56c | 126.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed KOLESIE | 56c | 122.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Voca | 42c | 110.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked KOLESIE | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Voca | 71c | 99.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed KOLESIE | 21c | 96.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Voca | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked KOLESIE | 55c | 90.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed Voca | 43c | 87.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Voca | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Voca | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30b…29e5backed KOLESIE | 58c | 52.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Voca | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Voca | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Voca | 68c | 43.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked KOLESIE | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked KOLESIE | 56c | 27.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcf…0832backed KOLESIE | 49c | 20.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.