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Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Burruchagaof Blockx, Burruchaga
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff81…44c9backed Burruchaga72c8,606$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.91,29556.6%733 W · 562 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Blockx28c6,082$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.8958232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Burruchaga70c3,013$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.025143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Blockx28c1,186$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9638546.5%179 W · 206 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Blockx30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,75050.2%878 W · 872 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Burruchaga42c877.35$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.062,45450.9%1,248 W · 1,206 L+83.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blockx30c610.61$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.189,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Blockx30c486.67$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14657950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed Blockx54c464.57$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8716445.1%74 W · 90 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Blockx29c453.24$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4418542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blockx30c375$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.52,80453.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L+71.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Blockx28c341$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977,22749.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L+118.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Blockx28c334.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7546752.5%245 W · 222 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Blockx68c303.38$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.31,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Blockx30c293.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,78948.7%872 W · 917 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Blockx29c271.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2956141.4%232 W · 329 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Blockx30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084357.3%483 W · 360 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Burruchaga71c152.11$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1114259.2%84 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Blockx54c125.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.745,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Blockx30c81.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4860341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Blockx29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24,08145.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L-30.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Blockx30c49.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8844138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Burruchaga69c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.477,79147.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L+39.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Burruchaga73c27.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3426258%152 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Blockx59c26.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4317440.2%70 W · 104 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Burruchaga68c16.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.254,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.