Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open, Qualification: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c8428a68828581bb5b8c6ae30372a9975cce3efe5f03b68b4fc459eea4b8cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Maarten Jongof Alexander Maarten Jong, Shintaro Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x154e…fbdebacked Alexander Maarten Jong | 17c | 16,033$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,241.79 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 7,213$5,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.63 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 1,847$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.67 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 696.52$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Alexander Maarten Jong | 64c | 428.21$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 24c | 378$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 315.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 80c | 307.64$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.11 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 74c | 272.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 73c | 270.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 242$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 212$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 33c | 199.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alexander Maarten Jong | 27c | 166.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 41c | 165.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 62c | 163.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Alexander Maarten Jong | 27c | 155.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 114.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 73c | 80.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexander Maarten Jong | 26c | 78.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alexander Maarten Jong | 37c | 73.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 27c | 64.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 24c | 52.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 43.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 50c | 40.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 64c | 26.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…c111backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 50c | 23.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Alexander Maarten Jong | 67c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 19.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.