Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Vit Kopriva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c859c2b799a2dacb95125f62490880ba1061dade4d7492713cf4c39151e0198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Kopriva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kopriva | 10c | 18,246$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kopriva | 22c | 10,688$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Cerundolo | 70c | 9,224$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.74 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Kopriva | 9c | 2,399$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kopriva | 36c | 1,480$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.81 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cerundolo | 69c | 1,410$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Kopriva | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Kopriva | 32c | 1,199$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Cerundolo | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Cerundolo | 77c | 1,000$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Kopriva | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kopriva | 30c | 994$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.47 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 974$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.38 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kopriva | 31c | 872$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.06 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Kopriva | 24c | 833.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kopriva | 15c | 727.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kopriva | 26c | 670.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kopriva | 26c | 649.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Kopriva | 8c | 627.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cerundolo | 77c | 625.56$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Kopriva | 8c | 614.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kopriva | 3c | 609$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Kopriva | 40c | 602.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kopriva | 35c | 466.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cerundolo | 71c | 422.11$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kopriva | 18c | 277.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Kopriva | 24c | 258.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cerundolo | 77c | 254.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Kopriva | 40c | 239.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Kopriva | 15c | 216.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…7379backed Cerundolo | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kopriva | 32c | 158.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Kopriva | 35c | 127.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kopriva | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kopriva | 28c | 118.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kopriva | 29c | 118.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Kopriva | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kopriva | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Kopriva | 23c | 95.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Kopriva | 31c | 88.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kopriva | 25c | 85.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Kopriva | 33c | 81.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kopriva | 16c | 77.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9a…8a4cbacked Cerundolo | 64c | 70.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Cerundolo | 66c | 69.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Kopriva | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kopriva | 32c | 55.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Kopriva | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kopriva | 34c | 44.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cerundolo | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cerundolo | 69c | 41.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…f424backed Cerundolo | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cerundolo | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Cerundolo | 68c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Vit Koprivathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs KoprivaCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.