Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Alicia Dudeney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cbd60e21f3af8ffd4017fdd025a801dab401abfe4f960cc4c8469ab5ec0086f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonja Zhiyenbayevaof Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, Alicia Dudeney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 74c | 30,333$22,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,892.77 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alicia Dudeney | 40c | 14,560$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alicia Dudeney | 29c | 6,534$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.86 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alicia Dudeney | 30c | 5,978$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.92 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 49c | 3,325$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.67 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 2,759$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.45 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 33c | 2,628$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.55 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alicia Dudeney | 52c | 2,215$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alicia Dudeney | 4c | 1,727$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 57c | 1,533$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.17 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alicia Dudeney | 40c | 1,530$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Alicia Dudeney | 45c | 1,100$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alicia Dudeney | 56c | 857.3$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Alicia Dudeney | 12c | 471.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alicia Dudeney | 35c | 442.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alicia Dudeney | 17c | 421.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Alicia Dudeney | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 56c | 402.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Alicia Dudeney | 28c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Alicia Dudeney | 51c | 376.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Alicia Dudeney | 23c | 353.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alicia Dudeney | 26c | 345.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Alicia Dudeney | 51c | 337.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Alicia Dudeney | 6c | 274.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Alicia Dudeney | 51c | 203.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alicia Dudeney | 29c | 179.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 73c | 113.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alicia Dudeney | 46c | 98.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 50c | 78.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alicia Dudeney | 63c | 75.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alicia Dudeney | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 66.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Alicia Dudeney | 54c | 64.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 59.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Alicia Dudeney | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Alicia Dudeney | 32c | 56.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Alicia Dudeney | 57c | 54.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 30c | 53.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alicia Dudeney | 29c | 53.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 53.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Alicia Dudeney | 47c | 51.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 25c | 45.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 40.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alicia Dudeney | 54c | 37.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alicia Dudeney | 73c | 37.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 27c | 37.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 36.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alicia Dudeney | 30c | 36.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alicia Dudeney | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 28.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alicia Dudeney | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 26.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alicia Dudeney | 50c | 25.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Alicia Dudeney | 74c | 21.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Alicia Dudeney | 73c | 21.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Alicia Dudeney | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.