Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast, Women: Hampshire vs Durham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cbf006cccede2fc699a08d7ce6c6f82070e5827ecae63ade0c8bc0186e46f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hampshireof Hampshire, Durham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Hampshire | 67c | 289.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Durham | 30c | 277.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Durham | 33c | 249.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Durham | 34c | 242.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Durham | 34c | 238.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hampshire | 64c | 237.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hampshire | 65c | 194$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hampshire | 70c | 181$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Durham | 53c | 164.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hampshire | 66c | 145$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hampshire | 70c | 122$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Hampshire | 65c | 88.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Durham | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Durham | 32c | 56.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Durham | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Hampshire | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Durham | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hampshire | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked Hampshire | 53c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hampshire | 77c | 18.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Hampshire | 79c | 15.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Hampshire | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.