Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d10a8df1faf3a4df4b59b450993288327d29b2726860cf740ee5b653183d96f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 12,867$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.93 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 25c | 4,034$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.17 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 18c | 3,526$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.58 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,671$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.83 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Yes | 23c | 1,494$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 15c | 1,032$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 913.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 12c | 801$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 16c | 625$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 24c | 318.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 318.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…ed40backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 13c | 167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 793 | 55.4%439 W · 354 L | +36.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 9c | 133.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 131.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 23c | 83.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 15c | 79.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…9ea1backed Yes | 23c | 79.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 586 | 45.4%266 W · 320 L | -23.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 27c | 57.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…efc0backed No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.