CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d4c5bf6729d5b61deb0f62d27722309a2e54d883613f18a706773adc0d4869e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof 2007, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 815.06$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 2007 | 28c | 713.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 2007 | 25c | 565.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 2007 | 56c | 368.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 366.02$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked 2007 | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed 2007 | 53c | 200.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 184.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 183$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked 2007 | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 159.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 113.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…85e6backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 101.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 2007 | 63c | 94.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed 2007 | 57c | 87.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…d1c5backed 2007 | 26c | 76.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 59.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 56.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed 2007 | 25c | 51.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…5434backed 2007 | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…73d0backed 2007 | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 25.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 23.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.