Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Austin Peay Governors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d96c2c311b22138a0a5eaff8a072ce8e6895a379267dd1b90b2b4b3f22067cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Central Arkansas Bears, Austin Peay Governors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Austin Peay Governors | 24c | 3,365$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.4 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Central Arkansas Bears | 50c | 3,201$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Austin Peay Governors | 33c | 2,827$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.72 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Austin Peay Governors | 49c | 980.26$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.33 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 816.74$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.88 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 26c | 656.92$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.66 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…0ec1backed Austin Peay Governors | 8c | 652.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Austin Peay Governors | 52c | 615.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Arkansas Bears | 18c | 485.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Austin Peay Governors | 62c | 429.24$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 411.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Austin Peay Governors | 39c | 356.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 34c | 332.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 36c | 298.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Central Arkansas Bears | 43c | 294.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 52c | 254.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 233.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Austin Peay Governors | 7c | 226.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Austin Peay Governors | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Austin Peay Governors | 54c | 198.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Austin Peay Governors | 64c | 172.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Austin Peay Governors | 61c | 162.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 160.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Austin Peay Governors | 66c | 150.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Austin Peay Governors | 62c | 146.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Austin Peay Governors | 58c | 130.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Austin Peay Governors | 78c | 128.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Central Arkansas Bears | 34c | 121.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 21c | 118$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Central Arkansas Bears | 43c | 104$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 99.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Central Arkansas Bears | 58c | 97.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…7018backed Central Arkansas Bears | 23c | 93.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 38c | 91.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Austin Peay Governors | 51c | 90.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Austin Peay Governors | 67c | 81.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Central Arkansas Bears | 13c | 81.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 66c | 75.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 67.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Austin Peay Governors | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 49.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Central Arkansas Bears | 24c | 46.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Central Arkansas Bears | 37c | 38.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 64c | 32.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 79c | 25.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.