Lol · resolved market
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ece8ea84cc7589d0c3f901a917bdf506fa95b4a81f38751a72e070da314d3d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berlin International Gamingof Berlin International Gaming, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,278 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed G2 NORD | 2c | 11,071$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.3 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 NORD | 0c | 3,741$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked G2 NORD | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Berlin International Gaming | 45c | 2,727$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.05 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 NORD | 60c | 1,844$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.78 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Berlin International Gaming | 43c | 1,490$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 40c | 1,194$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.39 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Berlin International Gaming | 43c | 1,114$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.74 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed G2 NORD | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked G2 NORD | 46c | 975.23$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.83 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Berlin International Gaming | 60c | 712.63$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…ee69backed G2 NORD | 58c | 516.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed G2 NORD | 22c | 466.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed G2 NORD | 3c | 380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed G2 NORD | 60c | 328.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Berlin International Gaming | 45c | 272.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked G2 NORD | 11c | 265.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 NORD | 10c | 241.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked G2 NORD | 66c | 211.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked G2 NORD | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed G2 NORD | 56c | 178.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 50c | 154.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Berlin International Gaming | 44c | 139.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Berlin International Gaming | 58c | 131.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Berlin International Gaming | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…5fecbacked Berlin International Gaming | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Berlin International Gaming | 44c | 117.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Berlin International Gaming | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked G2 NORD | 18c | 99.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked G2 NORD | 45c | 88.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Berlin International Gaming | 30c | 86.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed G2 NORD | 56c | 78.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 64.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed G2 NORD | 50c | 47.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…fadbbacked Berlin International Gaming | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Berlin International Gaming | 73c | 27.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Berlin International Gaming | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed G2 NORD | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0a…3a55backed G2 NORD | 61c | 23.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Berlin International Gaming | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed G2 NORD | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.