MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ecf8b974c44455498e51e7dc48e1ed27699dafcd4ea31f2114b593a16deb480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Milwaukee Brewers, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 10,759$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.41 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 4,160$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 2,957$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.46 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 2,233$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.33 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 2,052$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.51 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,414$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.14 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 1,357$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.37 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,171$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.03 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,131$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,113$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 942.11$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.95 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 590.83$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.02 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 528.67$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 517.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.43 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 333.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 320$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 252$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 174.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 167.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 164.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 156.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 101.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 96.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…de3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 40.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 28.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.