Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Víkingur win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f60cad4029ed88db2ac527fdcab71e5105f22decb07e8d38fe6012c52c4b9e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 13c | 2,072$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +11.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 57c | 1,619$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.83 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 50c | 980.2$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 33c | 756.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.04 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 616.83$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 78c | 600$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 18c | 374.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.17 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 371.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 47c | 329.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 74c | 276.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.63 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 72c | 224.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 43c | 210.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 206.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed No | 78c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 175$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yes | 35c | 164$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Yes | 35c | 160.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 150.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 30c | 141.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 131.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 23c | 129.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 73c | 129$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 122.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 68c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 67c | 104$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 50c | 99.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 58c | 98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 94.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580a…301cbacked Yes | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 32c | 78.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 21c | 74.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 17c | 67.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 57.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 57.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…d5c4backed Yes | 34c | 56.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 58c | 46.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…a7bfbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 47c | 25.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 76c | 23.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes | 67c | 15.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Víkingur win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will UMF Stjarnan win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Víkingur vs. UMF Stjarnan end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.