Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7b474ec4a8c38b84ab296decbd32808148533a1295c9f40ec7fe01040799e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F9 EICARof F9 EICAR, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed F9 EICAR | 61c | 1,349$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.82 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Galions | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Galions | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions | 43c | 945.64$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.19 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed F9 EICAR | 46c | 934.14$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.18 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked F9 EICAR | 52c | 657.81$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.39 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions | 22c | 474.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked F9 EICAR | 47c | 408.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Galions | 8c | 355.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Galions | 30c | 312$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed F9 EICAR | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions | 46c | 219.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions | 43c | 217.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…06f6backed F9 EICAR | 45c | 211.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Galions | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked F9 EICAR | 45c | 153.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed F9 EICAR | 46c | 139.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Galions | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Galions | 49c | 123.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed F9 EICAR | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked F9 EICAR | 53c | 117.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Galions | 42c | 115.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Galions | 41c | 112.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked F9 EICAR | 74c | 97.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Galions | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Galions | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galions | 19c | 84.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1415…f93fbacked Galions | 42c | 69.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Galions | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Galions | 50c | 42.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed F9 EICAR | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked F9 EICAR | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Galions | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed F9 EICAR | 47c | 32.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Galions | 42c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Galions | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed F9 EICAR | 46c | 24.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed F9 EICAR | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions - Map 1 WinnerF9 EICAR won
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions - Map 2 WinnerF9 EICAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.