Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f87ef397e9778c53ae05dd4c97232be841d92328251bf872d219c92cf9b606a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,137 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 17c | 1,248$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 832.27$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…8672backed Under | 78c | 730.5$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +181.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…8670backed Over | 22c | 730.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…edf2backed Over | 22c | 346.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…463dbacked Under | 78c | 346.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 291.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 164.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 18c | 124.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 101.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 60c | 61.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.