Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ee088bb57db81fcab34f2a1a043aaa088f6a828c88d2138dc89043927fdbca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,431 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under | 43c | 34,942$15,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,018.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 3,126$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.56 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 57c | 1,788$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.84 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,518$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.27 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Over | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,400$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.13 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 57c | 1,275$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.25 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 728.57$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.86 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 57c | 649.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.12 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 506.03$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 57c | 470$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 12c | 441.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 58c | 403.94$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 57c | 129.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 57c | 109$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 57c | 98.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 57c | 77.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 57c | 72.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 72.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 57c | 64.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 58c | 62.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 57c | 40.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Over | 57c | 25.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +143%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 57c | 22.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 19.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.