Other European Leagues · resolved market
Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ff11fbe3ebf35b72ad4f2a3097cbe444bd34790b9fb4706c82f4cb880ed62f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,218$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.95 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…a91ebacked Under | 53c | 1,320$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 53c | 1,214$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.32 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 982.75$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.86 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 56c | 900.13$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.43 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 790.56$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 684.53$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.81 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 681.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.45 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 51c | 664.05$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 437.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.66 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 366$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 366$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 338.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 67c | 305.42$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 294.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 209.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 51c | 167.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 102.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 49c | 102.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 52c | 54.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 50c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 48c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Under | 53c | 26.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5this page
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Degerfors IF won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-2.5)Degerfors IF won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)Degerfors IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.