Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aldershot: Sayaka Ishii vs Francesca Gandolfi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00be08a70865562e1941652066917ff799f6a0cb9eb596a5e0db146c8e33d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sayaka Ishiiof Sayaka Ishii, Francesca Gandolfi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sayaka Ishii | 77c | 4,398$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Francesca Gandolfi | 14c | 3,392$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.88 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Francesca Gandolfi | 36c | 668.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesca Gandolfi | 28c | 439.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Francesca Gandolfi | 63c | 310$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Francesca Gandolfi | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sayaka Ishii | 60c | 135.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Francesca Gandolfi | 40c | 125.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Francesca Gandolfi | 36c | 74.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Francesca Gandolfi | 24c | 74.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Francesca Gandolfi | 60c | 71.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Francesca Gandolfi | 52c | 64.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Sayaka Ishii | 66c | 49.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Sayaka Ishii | 79c | 46.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Francesca Gandolfi | 34c | 45.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Francesca Gandolfi | 37c | 41.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sayaka Ishii | 64c | 38.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesca Gandolfi | 49c | 27.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Francesca Gandolfi | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Sayaka Ishii | 66c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.