Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa06ced6410dc60213d6b07d2ca57db249676f35228e89c48d9aef8f93f8bb06e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 58c | 413.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 41c | 335$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 41c | 213.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…9ee1backed Under | 59c | 169.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 42c | 161.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 59c | 116.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed Under | 59c | 116.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 58c | 89.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Under | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Over | 50c | 46.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under | 64c | 30.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 57c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Under | 59c | 28.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under | 59c | 20.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5)Fuego won
- Game Handicap: FUE (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5)Fuego won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsFuego won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 1 WinnerFuego won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 2 WinnerFuego won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 3 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.