Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51b67ac739f4071a4023f9911a8e4d3c4a85b90ce087285a66904fe30c5f4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof Fuego, Kits Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kits Esports | 16c | 7,286$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.02 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Kits Esports | 49c | 4,914$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.77 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Fuego | 34c | 2,537$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.42 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fuego | 61c | 1,938$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.89 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fuego | 56c | 1,201$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.99 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kits Esports | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Fuego | 80c | 891.85$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Kits Esports | 20c | 850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Kits Esports | 21c | 841.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Kits Esports | 18c | 745.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Kits Esports | 5c | 732.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kits Esports | 13c | 632.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Fuego | 66c | 542.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Kits Esports | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Kits Esports | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Fuego | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Kits Esports | 30c | 436.56$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Kits Esports | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Kits Esports | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Fuego | 62c | 290$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Kits Esports | 15c | 286.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Kits Esports | 17c | 285$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Fuego | 70c | 264.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Kits Esports | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Kits Esports | 19c | 244.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed Fuego | 57c | 230$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Kits Esports | 30c | 228.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Kits Esports | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Kits Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Kits Esports | 25c | 195.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kits Esports | 24c | 174.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fuego | 62c | 171.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kits Esports | 18c | 143.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Kits Esports | 16c | 135.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kits Esports | 15c | 124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fuego | 63c | 123.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Kits Esports | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Kits Esports | 18c | 108.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Fuego | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Kits Esports | 25c | 81.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Kits Esports | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…6301backed Fuego | 77c | 66.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Kits Esports | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Kits Esports | 47c | 63.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Kits Esports | 24c | 61.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Kits Esports | 24c | 61.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kits Esports | 31c | 47.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Fuego | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Fuego | 43c | 38.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kits Esports | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kits Esports | 38c | 35.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked Fuego | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked Fuego | 40c | 28.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fuego | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Fuego | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Kits Esports | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6744backed Fuego | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5)Fuego won
- Game Handicap: FUE (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5)Fuego won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsFuego won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 1 WinnerFuego won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 3 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.