Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa0a19335b6a83edca7e8302d28e7c1f8a380140734eb50d84f657d976ed13e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof Fuego, Kits Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kits Esports | 4c | 4,212$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Kits Esports | 3c | 3,840$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kits Esports | 7c | 3,772$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Kits Esports | 4c | 1,892$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kits Esports | 7c | 1,508$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Kits Esports | 7c | 1,089$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Kits Esports | 7c | 970.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kits Esports | 6c | 874$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kits Esports | 5c | 738.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kits Esports | 5c | 657.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Kits Esports | 6c | 618.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…cd90backed Kits Esports | 6c | 417.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Kits Esports | 7c | 312.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Kits Esports | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Kits Esports | 6c | 297$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Kits Esports | 6c | 287$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Kits Esports | 7c | 285.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kits Esports | 8c | 277.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Kits Esports | 7c | 269.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kits Esports | 6c | 259.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Kits Esports | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…77e9backed Kits Esports | 6c | 237.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kits Esports | 7c | 212.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Kits Esports | 5c | 200.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kits Esports | 6c | 181$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kits Esports | 7c | 181$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kits Esports | 7c | 172.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kits Esports | 6c | 166.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…c9dabacked Kits Esports | 10c | 159.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kits Esports | 7c | 151.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…1931backed Kits Esports | 8c | 151.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Kits Esports | 8c | 149.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Kits Esports | 7c | 149.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…a258backed Kits Esports | 13c | 100.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kits Esports | 12c | 89.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5)Fuego won
- Game Handicap: FUE (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5)Fuego won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 1 WinnerFuego won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 2 WinnerFuego won
- LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 3 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.