Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 3 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0194b434afcc8d5d443f818c32ab9c8694cf44c6fc50186c91b4c8177598b64

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fuegoof Fuego, Kits Esports
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $76,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,930 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa9bc…d6d1backed Kits Esports	2c	25,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b0…87e4backed Kits Esports	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Kits Esports	72c	4,627$3,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,342.18	354	42.1%149 W · 205 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Fuego	62c	3,947$2,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,517.26	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6455…2604backed Fuego	79c	3,473$2,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.45	180	61.7%111 W · 69 L	+15.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Kits Esports	38c	2,407$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.93	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Fuego	78c	2,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.99	962	50.1%482 W · 480 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Fuego	69c	1,345$928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.5	173	47.4%82 W · 91 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…5267backed Fuego	71c	1,236$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.16	155	71%110 W · 45 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Kits Esports	36c	929.99$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.3	361	55.4%200 W · 161 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Kits Esports	48c	772.14$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.84	1,671	57.9%968 W · 703 L	+70.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Kits Esports	44c	749.99$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.38	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Kits Esports	21c	697.24$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.42	1,308	38.6%505 W · 803 L	-64.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Kits Esports	38c	696$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.64	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Kits Esports	21c	465.74$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.45	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fuego	62c	459.67$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.4	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Kits Esports	17c	458.26$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.12	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed Fuego	62c	449.99$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.6	323	37.2%120 W · 203 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Kits Esports	18c	400$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.3	208	42.3%88 W · 120 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Kits Esports	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	551	10.3%57 W · 494 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Fuego	68c	398.22$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.9	1,543	54.8%845 W · 698 L	+75.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kits Esports	46c	381.9$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.11	1,389	37.7%524 W · 865 L	-45.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Fuego	80c	361.65$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.33	372	45.2%168 W · 204 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked Fuego	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x747d…73b7backed Fuego	47c	322.11$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.11	151	55.6%84 W · 67 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Kits Esports	35c	311.05$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.87	322	53.1%171 W · 151 L	+19.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Kits Esports	47c	302.39$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.31	634	26%165 W · 469 L	-90.0wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-54%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Fuego	40c	293$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.6	468	41.7%195 W · 273 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Kits Esports	18c	273.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Kits Esports	17c	249.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Fuego	43c	242.33$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.92	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kits Esports	44c	233.67$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.43	858	49.5%425 W · 433 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fuego	74c	233$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.76	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Fuego	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	108	39.8%43 W · 65 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb68…9dc5backed Fuego	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.25	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Kits Esports	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed Fuego	78c	179.85$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.57	188	63.3%119 W · 69 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Kits Esports	53c	174.31$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	183	57.4%105 W · 78 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Kits Esports	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	127	47.2%60 W · 67 L	-11.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fuego	40c	170$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.15	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Fuego	78c	165.55$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.42	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Kits Esports	57c	165$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.05	409	16.1%66 W · 343 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Kits Esports	8c	160.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9b44…fcfcbacked Fuego	79c	153.31$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Kits Esports	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	219	40.6%89 W · 130 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Kits Esports	39c	150$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	950	48.5%461 W · 489 L	+26.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Kits Esports	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Kits Esports	68c	139$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	1,063	47.2%502 W · 561 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Kits Esports	27c	128$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	346	58.1%201 W · 145 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Kits Esports	35c	114.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	255	42%107 W · 148 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fuego	69c	106.35$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.27	1,922	42.2%811 W · 1,111 L	-45.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…f560backed Kits Esports	64c	100.9$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.98	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed Kits Esports	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	90	28.9%26 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Kits Esports	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.92	944	44.4%419 W · 525 L	-31.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Fuego	37c	94$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.22	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9f0…fd92backed Fuego	80c	92$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Kits Esports	28c	71.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.19	227	58.1%132 W · 95 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Fuego	37c	69.24$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.62	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Kits Esports	38c	69.18$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Fuego	80c	66.73$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked Fuego	78c	61.41$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	173	57.8%100 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b58…3474backed Fuego	60c	58.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.3	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Kits Esports	65c	57$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf049…a390backed Fuego	79c	51.51$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.82	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a0…8189backed Kits Esports	27c	48.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	126	38.1%48 W · 78 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Fuego	44c	45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	305	43%131 W · 174 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Kits Esports	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Fuego	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	257	40.1%103 W · 154 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Kits Esports	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	529	45.9%243 W · 286 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Fuego	74c	39.64$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.31	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Kits Esports	53c	34.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	395	7.1%28 W · 367 L	-122.2wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Kits Esports	37c	32.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x207a…6744backed Kits Esports	53c	29.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Fuego	62c	20.63$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.9	1,055	39.6%418 W · 637 L	-74.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa530…88f6backed Kits Esports	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Fuego	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	255	67.8%173 W · 82 L	+15.8wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Fuego	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	274	65.7%180 W · 94 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Fuego	77c	19.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.58	187	38.5%72 W · 115 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Kits Esports	77c	13.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5)Fuego won
Game Handicap: FUE (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5)Fuego won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsFuego won
LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 1 WinnerFuego won
LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 2 WinnerFuego won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Fuego vs Kits Esports - Game 3 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event