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Tennis · resolved market

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Barueri (Brazil), hard: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Carolyn Ansari

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ana Sofia Sanchezof Ana Sofia Sanchez, Carolyn Ansari
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Carolyn Ansari64c40,469$25,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,976.3411,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ana Sofia Sanchez32c38,875$12,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,412.39,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez44c1,377$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.5755351.9%287 W · 266 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carolyn Ansari64c1,078$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.28,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Carolyn Ansari71c994.33$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.841,11257.9%644 W · 468 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615b…9591backed Ana Sofia Sanchez39c830.51$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Carolyn Ansari64c628.38$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.732,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ana Sofia Sanchez44c622.37$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.552,54551.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Carolyn Ansari74c539.47$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1772638.3%278 W · 448 L-34.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf704…9420backed Carolyn Ansari56c534.64$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.351723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Carolyn Ansari73c475.23$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.081,39839.1%546 W · 852 L-25.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Carolyn Ansari72c462.02$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9987738.2%335 W · 542 L-21.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Carolyn Ansari47c421.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011152.3%58 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Ana Sofia Sanchez28c418.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.299551.6%513 W · 482 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ana Sofia Sanchez43c309.68$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.183,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Carolyn Ansari60c235.47$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4655946.3%259 W · 300 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez32c202.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.421,15045.4%522 W · 628 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez39c177.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.778,12750.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L+84.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Carolyn Ansari52c134.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.015,03138.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L-20.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Carolyn Ansari37c133.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Carolyn Ansari71c132$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.725,60048.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L+10.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ana Sofia Sanchez46c115$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.11,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ana Sofia Sanchez18c109.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.173,75245.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Carolyn Ansari59c99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8315547.1%73 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez43c96.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8548139.9%192 W · 289 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Carolyn Ansari55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016431.7%52 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4f…000ebacked Carolyn Ansari56c85.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.852751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Ana Sofia Sanchez30c80.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.351,36038.3%521 W · 839 L+2.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Ana Sofia Sanchez31c69.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6438731.3%121 W · 266 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Carolyn Ansari63c53.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.883,95255.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L+107.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Ana Sofia Sanchez44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284,08145.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L-30.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Ana Sofia Sanchez44c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9976048.3%367 W · 393 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez61c45.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8253647%252 W · 284 L+27.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Carolyn Ansari52c43.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8534448.8%168 W · 176 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff1…1be9backed Carolyn Ansari76c40.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.964971.4%35 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Carolyn Ansari68c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0814160.3%85 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez57c30.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9143359.4%257 W · 176 L+28.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez45c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Carolyn Ansari55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533667.9%228 W · 108 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Ana Sofia Sanchez40c26.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+65.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Carolyn Ansari65c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512,16456.1%1,214 W · 950 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Carolyn Ansari59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1645444.7%203 W · 251 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.