Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Cosme de Ravel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa134a646e6ad081be10e48e440838de0472577e693e40d666299821cb19096c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cosme de Ravelof Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Cosme de Ravel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cosme de Ravel | 31c | 1,162$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.79 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 25c | 1,010$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.65 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 25c | 1,002$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.64 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 69c | 976.14$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.31 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cosme de Ravel | 75c | 821.4$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 70c | 517.54$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.28 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Cosme de Ravel | 53c | 504.72$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.02 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Cosme de Ravel | 23c | 465.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.86 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Cosme de Ravel | 23c | 386.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.33 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 53c | 357.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…0242backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 3c | 315.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cosme de Ravel | 27c | 312.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cosme de Ravel | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 73c | 302.35$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 45c | 293.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cosme de Ravel | 21c | 283.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cosme de Ravel | 18c | 275.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.21 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 46c | 230.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 31c | 190$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 290 | 48.3%140 W · 150 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 71c | 169.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Cosme de Ravel | 18c | 142.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 42c | 134.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cosme de Ravel | 45c | 109.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 59c | 97.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Cosme de Ravel | 25c | 79.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Cosme de Ravel | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Cosme de Ravel | 26c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 40c | 65.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Cosme de Ravel | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 65c | 64.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Cosme de Ravel | 27c | 62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cosme de Ravel | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 56.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cosme de Ravel | 29c | 55.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 68c | 53.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 73c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cosme de Ravel | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 67c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 46c | 39.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 72c | 38.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cosme de Ravel | 71c | 35.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 388 | 60.6%235 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 73c | 27.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 70c | 21.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 79c | 19.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.