Lol · resolved market
LoL: P11 Esports vs Axolotl (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15366c860124e5578f18f1b51b81257aed1b33375c33eb05eed670da87c08e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- P11 Esportsof P11 Esports, Axolotl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Axolotl | 41c | 7,985$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.97 | 858 | 52.3%449 W · 409 L | +35.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked P11 Esports | 78c | 4,000$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.54 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed P11 Esports | 55c | 3,908$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.28 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…0308backed Axolotl | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked P11 Esports | 47c | 2,954$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.62 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Axolotl | 54c | 2,301$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.13 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Axolotl | 9c | 2,132$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed P11 Esports | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.2 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Axolotl | 40c | 1,666$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.15 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Axolotl | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed P11 Esports | 58c | 1,477$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed P11 Esports | 69c | 1,309$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.13 | 507 | 70%355 W · 152 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed P11 Esports | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed Axolotl | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked P11 Esports | 57c | 899.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.47 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed P11 Esports | 55c | 828.82$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked P11 Esports | 52c | 765.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.54 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Axolotl | 43c | 750$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Axolotl | 51c | 693.58$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Axolotl | 4c | 613.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed P11 Esports | 39c | 550$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed P11 Esports | 52c | 490$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…0938backed Axolotl | 68c | 399.64$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed P11 Esports | 58c | 288.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Axolotl | 34c | 272.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…b227backed Axolotl | 23c | 269.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Axolotl | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Axolotl | 57c | 241$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Axolotl | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Axolotl | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Axolotl | 53c | 190.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Axolotl | 54c | 172.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 193 | 67.9%131 W · 62 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Axolotl | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked P11 Esports | 38c | 170$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed P11 Esports | 70c | 142.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Axolotl | 64c | 137.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 360 | 50.6%182 W · 178 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Axolotl | 14c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked P11 Esports | 66c | 94.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Axolotl | 37c | 90.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…f5ddbacked Axolotl | 48c | 84.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed P11 Esports | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed P11 Esports | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Axolotl | 61c | 69.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed P11 Esports | 41c | 55.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Axolotl | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…7066backed P11 Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Axolotl | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked P11 Esports | 54c | 47.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed P11 Esports | 34c | 41.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked P11 Esports | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Axolotl | 64c | 35.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Axolotl | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed P11 Esports | 55c | 30.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed P11 Esports | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Axolotl | 66c | 23.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…b65ebacked P11 Esports | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.