Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford beat Crystal Palace?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19cea058890e5b2a51ef5f0b2b9e7693a7db19d7c2ba11d922cd1d06a86fc31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 65c | 2,200$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 36c | 2,106$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.68 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…e089backed Yes | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed No | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 35c | 1,099$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.56 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 64c | 1,000$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 18c | 468$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 35c | 324$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 63c | 300.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 38c | 129.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…10fdbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 60c | 67.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 59c | 62.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 39c | 43.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…990ebacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford beat Crystal Palace?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace beat Brentford?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.