Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Amirkhamza Nasridinov vs Joshua Charlton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1d64f07bf6121cd215ca603c5599e763ef78b5962e7a96a6b2716b32fda22cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amirkhamza Nasridinovof Amirkhamza Nasridinov, Joshua Charlton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 55c | 18,230$10,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165.11 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joshua Charlton | 48c | 7,494$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.41 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Joshua Charlton | 39c | 6,163$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.27 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joshua Charlton | 53c | 1,269$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Joshua Charlton | 63c | 914.3$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.36 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Joshua Charlton | 38c | 816.47$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joshua Charlton | 49c | 635.89$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Joshua Charlton | 34c | 584$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Joshua Charlton | 48c | 466$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Joshua Charlton | 47c | 419$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joshua Charlton | 32c | 265.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Joshua Charlton | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Joshua Charlton | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Joshua Charlton | 34c | 157$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…1f59backed Joshua Charlton | 49c | 142$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 33c | 124.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Joshua Charlton | 14c | 114.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 52c | 83.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 35c | 42.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 33c | 41.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 37c | 39.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Joshua Charlton | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Joshua Charlton | 69c | 19.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Amirkhamza Nasridinov | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed Joshua Charlton | 65c | 16.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.