TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Doug Pederson be the next coach fired?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,511 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf971…1fd4backed Yes0c11,937$22 inLost-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703b…1d81backed Yes0c8,181$17 inLost-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes52c800$418 inLost-$418.3813348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes52c703.55$366 inLost-$365.8516439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda2f…baccbacked No47c593.44$281 inWon+$312.431729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81f…5c9fbacked No49c502.15$247 inWon+$254.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c8…0de1backed Yes57c325$186 inLost-$185.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No46c228.58$106 inWon+$122.677131%22 W · 49 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes48c160$77 inLost-$77.141540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1999…3884backed No50c102$51 inWon+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226c…5b9cbacked Yes50c102$51 inLost-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf367…7d1abacked Yes13c93.41$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No48c70$34 inWon+$36.42937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x153b…68ddbacked No32c60.54$20 inWon+$40.981225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Yes25c60.26$15 inLost-$15.0416845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d4…8c0dbacked No48c60$29 inWon+$31.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No75c56.11$42 inWon+$14.0612827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…f00abacked Yes56c44.77$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No53c40$21 inWon+$18.811839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Yes66c40$26 inLost-$26.42737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab9…e2f0backed No43c28.3$12 inWon+$16.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…f1b3backed No50c26.08$13 inWon+$13.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No52c25.09$13 inWon+$11.947718.2%14 W · 63 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4012…a72dbacked No77c20$15 inWon+$4.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6e…5727backed No53c20$11 inWon+$9.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.