Lol · resolved market
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b64cb379304c1ef327e89ad2d5829b9802d1c0de2dc3fd58846e6ee2cf51b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof UB Alma Mater, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed UB Alma Mater | 7c | 1,021$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 635.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked UB Alma Mater | 17c | 545.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked UB Alma Mater | 7c | 544.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 543.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed UB Alma Mater | 4c | 499.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UB Alma Mater | 23c | 287.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked UB Alma Mater | 18c | 268.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 241.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 241.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 224.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 194.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 148.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed UB Alma Mater | 19c | 146.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed UB Alma Mater | 21c | 125.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed UB Alma Mater | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed GIANTX iTero | 72c | 115.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked UB Alma Mater | 18c | 112.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 100.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked UB Alma Mater | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked UB Alma Mater | 14c | 99.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UB Alma Mater | 27c | 90.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked UB Alma Mater | 21c | 87.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed UB Alma Mater | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked UB Alma Mater | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked GIANTX iTero | 80c | 46.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed GIANTX iTero | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 238 | 49.2%117 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked GIANTX iTero | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 122 | 21.3%26 W · 96 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…d71cbacked GIANTX iTero | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…bbfbbacked GIANTX iTero | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked GIANTX iTero | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 12.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)GIANTX iTero won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.