Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2146bb84a4ad17ac6cc5500e7ca811a2bd28beb5aaadb1e7ececea240b89ce61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof GIANTX iTero, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked UB Alma Mater | 30c | 1,222$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.32 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked GIANTX iTero | 61c | 1,190$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked UB Alma Mater | 38c | 1,150$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed UB Alma Mater | 28c | 991.17$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.72 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed GIANTX iTero | 71c | 688.61$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked UB Alma Mater | 28c | 570$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked GIANTX iTero | 71c | 536.91$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed GIANTX iTero | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed UB Alma Mater | 30c | 454.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked GIANTX iTero | 65c | 453.79$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed GIANTX iTero | 61c | 411.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 279 | 62.4%174 W · 105 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked UB Alma Mater | 29c | 373.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked UB Alma Mater | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked UB Alma Mater | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked GIANTX iTero | 73c | 265.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed GIANTX iTero | 64c | 243.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 224.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed UB Alma Mater | 36c | 202.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed UB Alma Mater | 30c | 198.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed GIANTX iTero | 71c | 143.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed UB Alma Mater | 30c | 126.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…ea43backed GIANTX iTero | 71c | 119.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked UB Alma Mater | 38c | 118.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked UB Alma Mater | 37c | 101.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed GIANTX iTero | 72c | 98.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked UB Alma Mater | 29c | 96.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked GIANTX iTero | 63c | 86.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed UB Alma Mater | 29c | 83.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…7427backed GIANTX iTero | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 65.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed UB Alma Mater | 31c | 62.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked GIANTX iTero | 62c | 36.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked UB Alma Mater | 32c | 34.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.