Lol · resolved market
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe58678aa0b668721978c8b4a5ccc13943f2df2d2986df797f2ab36b92a24d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof UB Alma Mater, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed UB Alma Mater | 3c | 1,328$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 1,045$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed UB Alma Mater | 6c | 531.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UB Alma Mater | 5c | 495.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked UB Alma Mater | 13c | 436$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked UB Alma Mater | 13c | 410.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed UB Alma Mater | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UB Alma Mater | 6c | 246.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed UB Alma Mater | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed UB Alma Mater | 9c | 158.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 136.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed UB Alma Mater | 10c | 117.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UB Alma Mater | 14c | 81.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)GIANTX iTero won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.