CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40f5fab7ba4e45c95a65bda71f2ecc976bdd1c18f8e62b0b788143459aa436d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Under | 72c | 665.07$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 29c | 497.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 27c | 496.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed Under | 71c | 271.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…a22abacked Over | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 57c | 228.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 68c | 215.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 29c | 206.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 199.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 28c | 199.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 28c | 185.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x887b…bf0fbacked Over | 16c | 182.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 43c | 178.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 55c | 131.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 57c | 129.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 43c | 121.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…2152backed Under | 60c | 116.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Over | 45c | 116.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 78c | 104.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 50c | 100.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 67.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 62.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 37c | 57.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed Over | 44c | 54.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 43c | 46.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 53c | 46.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Under | 76c | 40.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 30c | 38.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…57eebacked Under | 57c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 55c | 31.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 27.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Over | 44c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 54c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 61c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.