MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa44e8b67c40d9939ea04f36c874a6ce1208141645aba0e3bc2e75bdb9e6a812f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Cardinals | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Guardians | 44c | 7,475$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.09 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 45c | 5,070$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 54c | 4,614$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.21 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 56c | 3,494$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.06 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 56c | 3,450$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.97 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 31c | 3,206$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cardinals | 53c | 2,832$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.7 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 47c | 2,632$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Guardians | 44c | 2,417$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.33 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,747$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.81 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 1,356$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.93 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 47c | 1,241$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.94 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 742.66$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Cardinals | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Guardians | 5c | 541.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Cardinals | 53c | 482.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cardinals | 55c | 364.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Guardians | 46c | 363.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Guardians | 40c | 330.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cardinals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 73c | 260.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Guardians | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 55c | 199.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Guardians | 47c | 176.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Guardians | 46c | 173.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…d72fbacked Cardinals | 54c | 152.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 45c | 149.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Cardinals | 55c | 145.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…5b6bbacked Guardians | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…6bf3backed Cardinals | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…9c24backed Guardians | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…568cbacked Guardians | 46c | 124.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…7534backed Cardinals | 56c | 121.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e3adbacked Cardinals | 56c | 115.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Guardians | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 104.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 75c | 95.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5d54backed Guardians | 46c | 95.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…57d0backed Cardinals | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9b13backed Guardians | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 46c | 87.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Guardians | 49c | 86.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…487dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 84.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Guardians | 49c | 81.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Guardians | 46c | 81.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff1…7e56backed Cardinals | 56c | 73.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Guardians | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cardinals | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…99d4backed Cardinals | 54c | 64.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Guardians | 46c | 51.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Guardians | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 55c | 47.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cardinals | 52c | 46.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Guardians | 45c | 45.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 72c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Guardians | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cc…ec28backed Guardians | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Guardians | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Cardinals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…8ae0backed Cardinals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Guardians | 43c | 31.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 76c | 23.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Cardinals | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Cardinals | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.