Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5135a6e83ee2f7ead3d6a34e2d5114a12fb23df1d13388671473566d8162184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dame Fighting Irishof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,799.96 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 47c | 27,998$13,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,229.19 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 4,050$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 3,063$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.76 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 2,962$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.61 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 2,030$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.45 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.57 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 1,983$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 47c | 1,494$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 939.94$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 807.91$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.39 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 721.52$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 47c | 709.59$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 51c | 289.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 195.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 114.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 95.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 68.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 71c | 59.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 42.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 41.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…a09ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 28.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 23.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)this page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame Fighting Irish won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.