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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Notre Dame Fighting Irishof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d92…8676backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c10,516$7,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,671.3521149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish27c10,276$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,501.2984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack74c6,401$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,747.271,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed North Carolina State Wolfpack64c6,364$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.9834943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish21c5,336$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.192,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish17c4,368$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.5515556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c3,829$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.861,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack76c3,425$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.523,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish15c3,212$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack54c2,366$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.064,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish17c2,075$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.3381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c1,893$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.662,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish27c1,693$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.242,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c1,557$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.2410753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack72c1,383$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.192,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed North Carolina State Wolfpack2c1,262$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1115453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish69c1,239$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.251,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish25c1,125$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack28c1,051$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack31c1,039$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.31,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack79c970.96$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c935.14$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.3355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c850.87$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.831,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish14c666.13$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.872,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c580.07$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.256740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish72c542.15$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack70c479.57$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5227450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c399.76$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8214244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…88febacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish27c366.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.882326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack79c357.51$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina State Wolfpack78c342.69$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.032,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish24c331.21$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7253635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish16c298.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8142934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina State Wolfpack34c258.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.222,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish18c257.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.855056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish29c241.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2912141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish43c215.55$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.341,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c212.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.212655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c205$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.963735.1%13 W · 24 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish15c201.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed North Carolina State Wolfpack74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish15c197.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1515551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa59b…d11ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish29c190.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.583138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb6a…857abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish12c166.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.124027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack64c161.77$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c148.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb731…4391backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c142.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b1…8b6dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c141.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish27c139.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7331537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed North Carolina State Wolfpack75c136.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.325457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack73c136.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.311362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack80c135.12$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8830054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c132.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.177350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish27c132.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c129.11$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2511051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc58…1e76backed North Carolina State Wolfpack78c122.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.421330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack70c105.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.458748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack30c105.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5622157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8137441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c99.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked North Carolina State Wolfpack58c99.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5114151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5584854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack49c88.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.861,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c87.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7330649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6379…2d10backed North Carolina State Wolfpack72c86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e0…a448backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c85.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c68.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.947865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37a3…2784backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c67.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.64650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+121.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack74c67.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.664,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…81cabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish73c59.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c58.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8864647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish35c52.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5971655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c49.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish24c49.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8220834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c40.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.796357.1%36 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack74c40.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…b28fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack74c39.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c39.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.417945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack73c36.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.824365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c36.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7616755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58be…5537backed North Carolina State Wolfpack74c20.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.614461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed North Carolina State Wolfpack79c15.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4f…e1ffbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack78c14.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5630%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x40c4…42eabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack78c14.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.